The Harris Poll(R) also found that conservatives continue to outnumber
liberals
by 36 to 18 percent but that the largest number of people think of
themselves as moderates (41%)
.
TABLE 1
PARTY AFFILIATION
"Regardless of how you may vote, what do you usually consider yourself -- a
Republican
, a Democrat, an Independent, or some other party?"
Base: All adults
Democratic
Year* President Republican
Democrat Independent Lead
% % %
%
2004 Bush, G.
TABLE 2
DECADE MEANS OF DEMOCRATIC LEAD
"Regardless of how you may vote, what do you usually
consider yourself -- a
Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or some other party?"
Base: All adults
Democratic Lead
%
1970s 21
1980s 11
1990s 7
2000's (so far) 5
TABLE 3
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
"How would you describe your own
political philosophy - conservative,
moderate, or liberal?"
Base: All adults
Year* President Conservative Moderate Liberal
% % %
2004 Bush
, G.H.W.-based global research company that blends premier strategic consulting
with innovative and
efficient methods of investigation, analysis and
application.harrispollonline.
On issue handling
, the Democrats win on making prescription drugs
affordable (53%-25%), improving education (49%-34
%), holding down
federal spending (43%-38%), strengthening Social Security (49%-34%),
creating
jobs (48%-37%), and for the middle class (55%-33%). Initiated in June 1991, the Battleground Polls
have
gained widespread media recognition as reliable leading
indicators of national opinion and voters
' intentions. The substitute
addresses such priorities as port security, critical infrastructure
, aviation,
diversity, first responders, and management that the Republicans authorization
bill
fails to address. We need a bill that addresses all the
glaring gaps in homeland security, as well
as the deficiencies our oversight
has uncovered at the Department.
people generations
31 34
24 3
2003 Bush, G. 36 40 19
2000
Clinton 35 40 18
1999 Clinton
37 39 18
1998 Clinton 37 40
19
1997 Clinton 37 40 19
1996
Clinton 38 41 19
1995 Clinton
40 40 16
1992 Bush, G.W. 38 41
18
1989 Bush, G. The Democrats in Congress win on making prescription drugs
affordable (53%-29%), holding down federal spending (44%-41%),
strengthening Social Security
(49%-38%), creating jobs (46%-42%), and
for the middle class (51%-40%). Voters know
where the president
stands and oppose privatization no matter how he
spins it. The University also was
recently recognized
as the "Hottest School for Political Junkies" in
the 2005 Kaplan/Newsweek How to Get Into College
guide for the second
time in three years. For Arterton, please
contact Tracy Schario at The George
Washington University, (202)
994-3566.groups republican
However, the long term trend for party identification
has changed over the
last 40 years, with the Democratic lead declining from 21 percentage points
in
the 1970s, to 11 points in the 1980s, seven points in the 1990s, and (so far)
five points in
this decade. 33 38 25 5
1989 Bush, G.W. 36
42 18
1991 Bush, G.H.
These statements conform to
the principles of disclosure of the National
Council on Public Polls.harrisinteractive.novatris."
This bipartisan GW-Battleground 2006 Poll surveyed 1,000
registered likely voters nationwide March
7-9, 2005, and yields a
margin of error of +/- 3.
The GW-Battleground 2006 Poll data are available
at
www.edu/gelman
For more news about GW, visit the GW News Center at
www.Democrats Call
for Complete Authorization: Homeland Security Priorities Must be Addressed
Congressman Bennie
G.groups democrats
W.H.
They include refusals to be interviewed (non-response), question wording and
question order
, interviewer bias, weighting by demographic control data and
screening (e. However, this pessimism
is not harming Bush's job approval
(53%-44%) or his personal approval (66%-25%). Thompson (D-MS)
, Ranking Member of the Committee,
said this about the process:
"What we do today will help
set the course for where the Department is
headed over the next year.politics groups
36 41
18
2003 Bush, G. (http://www. GW's role in the poll is guided by the University
's
Graduate School of Political Management."
The Complete Homeland Security Act is available
on the Democratic Homeland
Security Committee website at http://www.groups republican
S.W. 35
40 17
2001 Bush, G.com), the 15th
largest and fastest-growing market
research firm in the world, is a Rochester,
N. Known for The Harris Poll(R) and for pioneering Internet
-based
research methods, Harris Interactive conducts proprietary and public research
to help its
clients achieve clear, material and enduring results.
Harris Interactive combines its intellectual
capital, databases and
technology to advance market leadership through U. When the
Republicans
in Congress are tested versus the Democrats in Congress,
the GOP also wins on Iraq (51%-33%), keeping
American prosperous
(45%-40%), holding the line on taxes (49%-36%), safeguarding America
from
a terrorist threat (55%-27%), and shares your values (46%-43%).
"With the exception of President
Bush interjecting Social Security
reform into the issue matrix and a slight drop-off in Bush haters
,
there is little that has changed since last November's presidential
election," said Republican
pollster Ed Goeas.
The George Washington University is the sponsor of the
GW-Battleground Poll
, a highly regarded, bi-partisan survey conducted
by top polling firms The Tarrance Group and Lake
Snell Perry Mermin
and Associates.gwu.culture age
31 34 24 3
2001
Bush, G.W. 37 42 17
1988 Reagan 38
39 18
1987 Reagan 37 39
19
1986 Reagan 37 39 18
1985
Reagan 37 40 17
1984 Reagan
35 39 18
1983 Reagan 36 40
18
1982 Reagan 36 40 18
1981
Reagan 38 40 17
1980 Carter
35 41 18
1979 Carter 35 39
20
1978 Carter 34 39 17
1977
Carter 30 42 17
1976 Ford
31 40 18
1975 Nixon/Ford 30 38
18
1974 Nixon 30 43 15
1972
Nixon 31 36 20
1968 Nixon
37 31 17
* Data are not available for the following years:
1969, 1970, 1971, 1973,
1993, and 1994.hieurope.Social Security Identified as the Most Important
Problem in Latest GW-Battleground Poll
In other key findings from the survey, the majority of
respondents
feel that the direction of the country remains on the wrong track
(54%-39%). Republican
congressional representatives should be concerned
that the president's agenda is turning the spotlight
to issues that
highlight Republican platform weaknesses. For Goeas, please contact Brian
Nienaber
at the Tarrance Group, (703) 684-6688.lspma. As we go through
this process this week, there are
homeland security priorities that are
critical and must be addressed if we are to protect our nation
.young democrats
Y. Harris Interactive data
over four decades show that the average numbers of moderates have remained
at
40 or 41 percent, and that conservatives have only varied between 32 and 38
percent, while
liberals have remained at a steady 18 percent since the 1970s. 31 36 22
5
2000 Clinton 29 37 23 8
1999
Clinton 29 36 26 7
1998 Clinton 28
37 27 9
1997 Clinton 29 37
26 8
1996 Clinton 30 38 26 8
1995
Clinton 31 36 28 5
1994 Clinton 32
37 26 5
1993 Clinton 29 38
27 9
1992 Bush, G. 30 36 29 6
1991
Bush, G.
TABLE 4
DECADE MEANS
OF POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
"How would you describe your own political philosophy -- conservative
,
moderate, or liberal?"
Base: All adults
Conservative Moderate Liberal
%
% %
1970s 32 40 18
1980s 36 40 18
1990s
38 41 18
2000's (so far) 35 40
18
Methodology
The Harris Poll(R) was conducted by telephone within the United States
between January and December 2004 among a nationwide cross section of 10,012
adults aged 18 and
over., for likely voters). It is impossible to quantify the errors
that may result from these factors
.com."
Celinda Lake, Democratic pollster, said, "Despite political scare
tactics and dire forecasts
, voters are not willing to accept the
president's created crisis in Social Security.org
Unfortunately,
the base bill that is being introduced does not address the priorities.generations society
W. While a
majority of voters believe
the economic situation of their family is about the same now (58%) and
will be about the same six months from now (55%), more voters believe
they are better off now
(23%) than worse off now (19%) and expect to
be better off six months from now (34%) than worse off
six months from
now (11%).democrats groups
One quarter of all adults
consider themselves Independents. 28
33 24 5
2002 Bush, G.
About Harris Interactive
(R)
Harris Interactive Inc.1%.organizations parties
W.W.W.H. 37 41 18
1990
Bush, G. adult population had been polled with complete accuracy. However, a majority of Americans
oppose
private accounts - no matter how they are described. On the top
economic problem, there
is a remarkable consistency among voters that
health care represents the primary problem facing the
country. While Americans clearly
see the need for strengthening Social Security with minor to modest
changes, they are not willing to risk the successful safety net for
the nation's seniors on a
radical scheme of privatization. If the Department's Inspector General and Privacy Offices are weak
and its staff lacks basic employee protections, then the agency is destined to
fail or be mediocre
at best.house.republican rights
Democrats Retain Very Small Lead Over Republicans, and Conservatives Outnumber
Liberals by 2-to-1, But Still Trail Moderates
ROCHESTER, N.S.W.H.S. EOE M/F/D
/V
To become a member of the Harris Poll Online(SM) and be invited to
participate in future
online surveys, visit http://www. 3/05
com
The GW-Battleground Poll archives since
1991 are at GW's Gelman
Library, www. WASHINGTON, The House Committee on Homeland
Security
will mark up its first Department of Homeland Security authorization
bill today as a standing committee
."
At the mark-up, the Democrats on the Committee will introduce the
"Complete Homeland Security
Act," the Democratic substitute to the Republican
plan for authorizing the Department of Homeland
Security.
Some of the funding highlights of the Democratic plan include:
* $380 million
to hire, equip and train 2,000 new border patrol agents;
* $1 billion in funding for port
, rail, and transit security;
* $500 million for communications interoperability;
* $900 million to begin halving the length of time for completing the
Coast Guard's Deepwater
program;
* and full funding for the 9/11 Act's commitment to detention spaces, air
passenger and cargo screening, and radiation portal monitors.age rights
Party Affiliation and Political Philosophy
Show Little Change According to National Harris Poll
33 40
18
2002 Bush, G.W.S.groups republican
H. For Lake, please contact Daniel Gotoff at Lake Snell Perry
and
Associates, (202) 776-9066.culture republican
The remarkable thing about these numbers is how
little they have changed
over the past 30 to 40 years. 32 37 26 5
1990 Bush, G
.W.
* Data are not available for 1968. Figures for age, sex, race, education, number of
adults
and number of voice/telephone lines in the household were weighted
where necessary to align them
with their actual proportions in the population.g.Y.
Press Contact:
Nancy Wong
Harris Interactive
585-214-7316
Kelly Gullo
Harris Interactive
585-214-7172
Harris Interactive Inc.
Regarding the economy, 41% of voters believe
it is excellent or
good and 59% believe it is either fair or poor.
Celinda Lake, Ed Goeas
and Christopher Arterton are available for
comment.
The amendments offered in the substitute
bill comprise a thorough approach
to border protection, mandate the protection of key critical infrastructure
,
support the development of new technologies, and create structural change at
the Department of
Homeland Security itself.
In describing the substitute's contents, Congressman Thompson said
, "The
first thing we need to do is make sure the Department has its act together
internally.
In addition, if it can't get its own computer
networks to talk to one another, how can it possibly
help our first responders
talk to one another in a time of crisis?"
The Congressman also stated
, "I wish that the base legislation before us
would have been more comprehensive.parties society
, U. adults conducted
by telephone by Harris Interactive(R) between January
and December 2004.W.W. 33 40
23 7
1988 Reagan 31 39 25
8
1987 Reagan 29 38 28 9
1986 Reagan
30 39 25 9
1985 Reagan 30 39
26 9
1984 Reagan 27 40 24
13
1983 Reagan 26 41 27 15
1982 Reagan
26 40 28 14
1981 Reagan 28
39 28 11
1980 Carter 24 41 29
17
1979 Carter 22 41 31 19
1978
Carter 22 43 30 21
1977 Carter 21
48 25 27
1976 Ford 24 47 24
23
1975 Nixon/Ford 21 46 27 25
1974
Nixon 23 45 32 22
1973 Nixon 26
48 26 22
1972 Nixon 30 47
23 17
1971 Nixon 31 49 20 18
1970 Nixon 31 49 20 18
1969 Nixon
32 49 19 17
NOTE: "Other" and "Not sure" responses excluded
.W.
In theory, with a probability sample of this size, one can say with 95
percent certainty
that the results for the overall sample have a sampling
error of plus or minus 1 percentage point
of what they would be if the entire
U. Unfortunately,
there are several other possible sources
of error in all polls or surveys that
are probably more serious than theoretical calculations of
sampling error. offices and wholly owned
subsidiaries: London-based HI Europe (http://www.
Regarding
voter attitudes on key political figures and
institutions, Bush (53%-42%) holds the strongest level
of support
followed by the Republican Party (50%-41%), the Republicans in
Congress (49%-39%),
the Democrats in Congress (47%-39%), and the
Democratic Party (49%-42%).
On issue handling, when
Bush is tested versus Congress, Bush wins
on Iraq (54%-35%), keeping America prosperous (46%-43%
), improving
education (45%-44%), holding the line on taxes (53%-34%), safeguarding
America from
a terrorist threat (62%-28%), and shares your values
(50%-43%). On the economy six
months from
now, 44% believe it will be excellent or good while 52%
believe it will be fair or poor. "Over the
next two
years, it will be very interesting to observe whether issues will be
defined through
the cultural divide between married church goers and
single non-church goers, which benefits Republicans
, or return to the
politics of fear and class warfare that benefits the Democrats. In this 27th poll
, Lake and Goeas bring
their unparalleled level of experience to provide insight and analysis
on
this data and its implications.gwnewscenter. I hope we will do what is right.
age organizations
adults are
still almost
equally divided between Democrats (34%) and Republicans (31%), with the
Democrats
maintaining a very small advantage.
These are some of the results of Harris Poll surveys of a
total of 10,012
U.H.H.com), Paris-based
Novatris (http://www.com), Tokyo-based Harris Interactive
Japan,
through newly acquired WirthlinWorldwide, a Reston, Virginia-based research
and consultancy
firm ranked 25th largest in the world, and through an
independent global network of affiliate market
research companies.
Business Editors/Political Writers
WASHINGTON----The George Washington
University Battleground 2006 Poll identifies Social Security as the
leading response on an open
-ended question about the top problem for
President and Congress.
Looking ahead to the 2006 congressional
elections, the generic
congressional ballot stands at a statistical tie with the Democratic
Party
at 44% and the Republican Party at 41%. Given a choice between better stability and opportunity, a
majority
of voters (62%) select stability.gov/hsc/democrats/.democratic politics
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